While Narendra Modi, Rahul Gandhi and Arvind Kejriwal are locked in a bitter battle as the icons of their respective parties, end of the day, political parties and their local candidates will have to fight it out. Trends in Social Media, which is dominated by urban youth, are a good indicator of how individual parties are doing in urban areas from the popularity standpoint. We are presenting the second installment (Click here for Part 1) of our study of Twitter account of the 3 most talked about parties in 2014 election – Aam Aadmi Party, Bharatiya Janata Party and Indian National Congress.
The tool used to generate the following statistics is Truth Of Gujarat’s in house tool called twfollowers. It is an open source tool and our viewers are most welcome to review the source code to find any fallacies.
The numbers in first three tables are indicators of how much fake following does a twitter account have. Higher the percentages, more the number of fake followers. BJP’s twitter account – BJP4India has the highest percentages in ALL the columns indicating a high percentage of fake following. On the other hand, Congress’s twitter account, WithCongress, has the smallest percentages and seems to have the most genuine following, but they seriously lack in numbers which shows their complete lack of popularity among the urban youth. AAP’s twitter account, AamAadmiParty, has grown the fastest in the last 2 months from 244,053 followers in first week of December to 516000 followers now.
|Total Followers (at time of analysis)||Followers who have never tweeted||Followers who have no followers themselves||Have never tweeted and have no followers|
|BJP4India||362041||119558 (33.02%)||94859 (26.20%)||53743 (14.84%)|
|AamAadmiParty||516005||140734 (27.27%)||112298 (21.76%)||59409 (11.51%)|
|WithCongress||31461||4309 (13.69%)||2757 (8.76%)||1140 (3.62%)|
|Followers who||Haven't changed their default image||Haven't changed their default image and have never tweeted||Haven't changed their default image and have no followers||Haven't changed their default image and have never tweeted and have no followers|
|BJP4India||142311 (39.30%)||76972 (21.26%)||60479 (16.70%)||39393 (10.88%)|
|AamAadmiParty||189011 (36.62%)||91369 (17.70%)||74261 (14.39%)||45255 (8.77%)|
|WithCongress||6712 (21.33%)||2325 (7.39%)||1589 (5.05%)||769 (2.44%)|
|Followers who||Have five or more numerals in their twitter id||Have six or more numerals in their twitter id||Have seven or more numerals in their twitter id||Have ten or more numerals in their twitter id|
|BJP4India||29202 (8.06%)||24431 (6.74%)||20537 (5.67%)||2318 (0.64%)|
|AamAadmiParty||36351 (7.04%)||30450 (5.90%)||25495 (4.94%)||2258 (0.43%)|
|WithCongress||1562 (4.96%)||1276 (4.05%)||1089 (3.46%)||111 (0.35%)|
The fourth table shows how active the followers are. Higher the number of percentages, more active are they on Twitter. Here again, even though, Congress has the highest percentages, they have the lowest number of followers. BJP4India has the least active followers which echoes their large number of fake followers. Aam Aadmi Party has the most active followers on Twitter in terms of both numbers and participation.
|Followers who||Have atleast 10 followers, atleast 10 tweets||Have atleast 20 followers, atleast 20 tweets||Have atleast 50 followers, atleast 50 tweets||Have atleast 100 followers, atleast 100 tweets|
|AamAadmiParty||118547 (22.97%)||82378 (15.96%)||44590 (8.64%||24499 (4.74%)|
|BJP4India||65550 (18.10%)||44993 (12.42%)||24665 (6.81%)||13852 (3.82%)|
|WithCongress||14096 (44.80%)||10357 (32.92%)||6204 (19.71%)||3751 (11.92%)|